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blackjacknorm
12-16-2004, 01:08 PM
Hit or not to hit 16....... To get a good hand 19-20-21 you have only 3 cards that will give you this... 3 cards out of 13 (in a deck) is 25% chance of making one of these three hands.... You have 6-7-8-9-10-a-j-q-k that will bust you.... or a 62% chance of busting..... getting an A or 2 gives you nothing but another poor hand (17/18 ....... which way will you choose???

Grifter
12-16-2004, 02:35 PM
Blackjacknorm

If you hit 16 vs 10 you will win 23.4% of the time, and lose 76.6%

If you stand 16 vs 10 you will win 22.8% of the time, and lose 77.2%

Now which one would you choose?

Grifter

gorilla player
12-16-2004, 03:09 PM
when the TC is >= 0 I choose to stand.

:)

Grifter
12-16-2004, 03:23 PM
Gorilla - That's fine and that is correct, but he's not talkin' about counting...G.

blackjacknorm
12-16-2004, 03:29 PM
Grifter....

If you hit 16 you bust 62%.... so you have to calc you chance on the winning on the remaining 25% that you did not bust on.... that's a pretty low percentage.... 23.4% of the 25%...after you didn't bust...

Grifter
12-16-2004, 03:33 PM
bjnorm - yes, and that's what the calcs are above.....The bottom line vs hitting and standing.......Grifter

gorilla player
12-16-2004, 04:19 PM
Grifter:

I knew. :) Just couldn't resist.

GP...

Ray
12-16-2004, 04:31 PM
The odds are 33:10 which comes in at 23.25 for 16 vs 10. I think the
true number is the average of the two win percentages and that's approx.
23.2 which is close enough.............................I lost today....first time
sense turkey day....