Regressive System, Feedback Please
  • Okay, here's an idea I was thinking about today.

    If you had the bankroll, and you had a goal to get up one hand at blackjack, and gave yourself a good 20-hand bankroll using the regressive system.....how would you be able to lose. I know the winnings wouldn't be much, because you'd need an uber bankroll for a regressive system, but has anyone ever lost 20 - 25 hands in a row?

    The principle of it really neglects the minimal house advantage, at least it seems that way to me when I'm thinking about it....and, when I say 'has anyone lost 20 straight hands in a row?' I don't mean 'is it mathematically possible?' Because I know it's mathematically possible, but it's so rare I've never had it happen to me, and I doubt anyone else has had it happen to them.
  • If you risk $100 in an attempt to win $100 using a regression, you will probably fail.
    If you risk $1000 in an attempt to win $10 using a regression, you are more likely to succeed.
    If you risk $10000 in an attempt to win $1 using a regression, you are even more likely to succeed.
    If you risk $1,000,000 in an attempt to win $.01 using a regression, you are even more likely to succeed.

    But who is stupid enough to risk $1,000,000 to win one penny? And how much interest did you lose carrying around the million bucks?
  • Yes,you can lose 20 hands in a row.It happens rarely,but it happens. Almost every experianced player will tell you that.
  • QFIT said:
    If you risk $100 in an attempt to win $100 using a regression, you will probably fail.
    If you risk $1000 in an attempt to win $10 using a regression, you are more likely to succeed.
    If you risk $10000 in an attempt to win $1 using a regression, you are even more likely to succeed.
    If you risk $1,000,000 in an attempt to win $.01 using a regression, you are even more likely to succeed.

    But who is stupid enough to risk $1,000,000 to win one penny? And how much interest did you lose carrying around the million bucks?


    QFIT,
    Unrelated to the topic at hand, but it's good to be posting on a board where you'll still contribute. :D:D

    RJT.
  • morrotho said:
    Okay, here's an idea I was thinking about today.

    If you had the bankroll, and you had a goal to get up one hand at blackjack, and gave yourself a good 20-hand bankroll using the regressive system.....how would you be able to lose. I know the winnings wouldn't be much, because you'd need an uber bankroll for a regressive system, but has anyone ever lost 20 - 25 hands in a row?

    The principle of it really neglects the minimal house advantage, at least it seems that way to me when I'm thinking about it....and, when I say 'has anyone lost 20 straight hands in a row?' I don't mean 'is it mathematically possible?' Because I know it's mathematically possible, but it's so rare I've never had it happen to me, and I doubt anyone else has had it happen to them.


    I know for sure that 4 times in 30 years I have lost 20 or more hands in a row, the last time being this year and also being the longest streak. Not quite sure, but it was between 25-27 hands including several splits and doubles, so it was over 30 bets in a row, although there were a few pushes along the way.
    In 3 of the 4 cases, I landed up leaving up before I ended my time at the casino.
    I also know that in a 20 hour period of blackjack play, the average is one 10 hand losing streak.
    I have played a whole shoe heads up and only won 3 hands, I have also played a shoe heads up and only lost 4 hands.
    I have been dealt 7 aces in a row.
    I have had long winning streaks, but never as long as my longest losing streaks.

    ihate17
  • I think it was Renzey that described losing every hand of a 6D shoe. Normally that is 16-20 rounds depending on the number of players.

    Two or three yrs. back I won 9 in a row without a push or losing a single bet. Not a big deal at first glance, but I was playing two hands and that is a very big deal. (X1 * X1)

    Edit in: Also, losing 8-9 in a row can be a little deceptive. Suppose you lose 4-5 rounds just before the cut card. You go to the John or maybe change tables. Lose the first 4-5 in a row. You have lost 8-9 in a row and may not realize what has happened. Could be even worse.

    In 2004, a year when I lost from Jan thru Nov, I lost my 1300 session bank in about 30 minutes and had to go home after driving 1.2 hours to get there. This game is about big time variance.

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